Skip to main content Skip to main navigation Skip to search

Queensland and NSW floods 2022

Visit recovery.gov.au to see what help is available.

Close
Home

Top navigation main

  • News & media
  • Jobs
  • Ministers
  • Contact us
Main menu

AWE Main

  • Agriculture and land
    Agriculture and land Building stronger and more sustainable agriculture, fisheries, forestry and land care.
    • Animal health
    • Farming, food and drought
    • Fisheries
    • Forestry
    • Land
    • Climate change and agriculture
    • Plant health
    • Drought and rural support
    • Mouse infestation advice
    Xylella

    Protect against unwanted plant pests

    Our biosecurity system helps protects us. Everyone has a role in supporting our biosecurity system.

    Find out more

  • Water
    Water Improving the sustainable management of Australia’s water resources for agriculture, the environment and communities.
    • Coal, Coal seam gas (CSG) and water
    • Commonwealth Environmental Water Office
    • Water policy and resources
    • Wetlands
    Water matters

    Water Matters

    Keep up with the latest news on the department's work in managing Australia's water resources.

    Read the latest edition here

  • Environment
    Environment Improving stewardship and sustainable management of Australia’s environment.
    • Biodiversity
    • Bushfire recovery
    • Climate change and the environment
    • EPBC Act
    • Environmental information and data
    • International activities
    • Marine
    • Partnerships
    • Protection
    • Report a breach of environment law
    • Threatened species & ecological communities
    • Waste and recycling
  • Biosecurity and trade
    Biosecurity and trade Lowering biosecurity risks to Australia, and assisting industry to accelerate growth towards a $100 billion agricultural sector by 2030.
    • Aircraft, vessels and military
    • Biosecurity policy
    • Cats and dogs
    • Exporting
    • Importing
    • Invasive species
    • Pests, diseases and weeds
    • Public awareness and education
    • Trade and market access
    • Travelling or sending goods to Australia
    • Wildlife trade
    Brown marmorated stink bug

    BMSB Seasonal Measures

    Australia has strengthened seasonal measures to manage the risk of BMSB.

    View our seasonal measures

  • Parks and heritage
    Parks and heritage Managing Australia’s iconic national parks, historic places and living landscapes.
    • Australian Marine Parks
    • Australian National Botanic Gardens
    • Booderee National Park
    • Kakadu National Park
    • Christmas Island National Park
    • National parks
    • Norfolk Island National Park
    • Heritage
    • Pulu Keeling National Park
    • The Great Barrier Reef
    • Uluṟu-Kata Tjuṯa National Park
    The reef

    Great Barrier Reef

    Australia is protecting and conserving this World Heritage Area.

    Find out more

  • Science and research
    Science and research Undertaking research and collecting data to support informed decisions and policies.
    • Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES)
    • Climate change
    • Australia's biological resources
    • National Environmental Science Program (NESP)
    • Our science strategy
    • Australian Biological Resource Study (ABRS)
    • State of the Environment (SoE) reporting
    • Bird and bat banding
    • Supervising Scientist
    Abares

    ABARES Insights

    Get 'snapshots’ of agricultural, forestry and fisheries industries, or analysis of key issues.

    Find out more

  • About us
    About us Enhancing Australia’s agriculture, environment, heritage and water resources through regulation and partnership.
    • Accountability and reporting
    • Assistance, grants and tenders
    • Contact us
    • Fees and charges
    • News and media
    • Our commitment to you
    • Payments
    • People and jobs
    • Publications
    • What we do
    • Who we are
    A day in the life

    A day in the life...

    Our video series showcases the diverse and important work we do.

    Find out more

  • Online services
    Online services We do business with you using online platforms. This makes it easier for you to meet your legal requirements.
Department of Agriculture

Breadcrumb

  1. Home
  2. Agriculture and land
  3. Animal
  4. Animal health
  5. Epidemiology and animal disease modelling

Sidebar first - Animal

  • Animal health
    • Australian Chief Veterinary Officer
      • Consider a career as an Australian Government Veterinarian
    • Australia and the World Organisation for Animal Health (OIE)
    • Australia's animal health system
      • National Registration of Veterinarians
    • Animal health laboratories
      • Diagnostic procedures
        • Aquatic and terrestrial Australian and New Zealand standard diagnostic procedures (ANZSDPs)
        • Reviewing and preparing ANZSDPs
          • Establishing the need for an Australian and New Zealand standard diagnostic procedure
          • Guide for authors writing an ANZSDP
          • Editorial and approval process for ANZSDPs
        • Australian standard diagnostic techniques (ASDTs)
        • Other diagnostic procedures
      • Laboratory policies and plans
      • Laboratory tests
        • Approved tests
        • Measurement uncertainty
        • Routine tests
        • Developing and evaluating new veterinary laboratory tests
          • Validation template for extension of an existing assay
          • Validation template for nucleic acid detection (NAD)
          • Validation template for serological assays
      • Reference laboratories and collaborating centres
        • Reference laboratories and collaborating centres
      • Disclaimer
      • Stakeholders
    • Antimicrobial Resistance
      • Antimicrobial Resistance in Bacteria of Animal Origin
      • Communique - Antimicrobial Resistance Roundtable
      • Questions and answers
      • Summary
    • Australia Indonesia Partnership for Emerging Infectious Diseases
    • Bovine germplasm comparison project—Australia, Canada, New Zealand and United States
      • Assessment of Systems Recognition of Quads Bovine Semen Collection Centres and Embryo Collection Teams
    • Committees that deal with animal health
      • Vet Communique
      • Animal Health Committee (AHC)
      • Consultative Committee on Emergency Animal Disease (CCEAD)
    • Epidemiology and animal disease modelling
    • Livestock movement in Australia and emergency disease preparedness
      • Livestock movement summary
    • Myxomatosis vaccine availability in Australia
    • OIE Performance of Veterinary Services (PVS) Evaluation Report of Australia
    • Private veterinarians engaged in an emergency animal disease response
    • Protecting Australia from rabies
    • Rabbit Haemorrhagic Disease Virus (Calicivirus)
    • Strategic foresight of animal health trends
    • Surveillance
    • Technical International Animal Health Liaison Group
    • Timor Leste village poultry health and biosecurity program
    • Veterinary awakening
    • Veterinary public health
    • Virtual reality to support FMD training

Epidemiology and Animal Disease Modelling

​​​​​Introduction

Preparedness for incursions of exotic diseases is of key importance to government, industry, producers and the Australian community. Australia’s exotic disease preparedness is based on emergency management principles. This includes the development of surveillance, monitoring and early warning systems, the compilation and maintenance of ​Australia’s veterinary emergency plans (AUSV​ETPLAN) and the conduct of training and awareness programs.

 

A good understanding of the likely behaviour of exotic disease under Australian conditions is a necessary component of effective preparedness and response planning. In the absence of contemporary Australian experience with such diseases, simulation modelling can be helpful. Simulation provides, in particular, a tool that can be used pre-emptively to investigate the likely spread of disease under different outbreak scenarios and the effectiveness and cost-efficiency of eradication strategies.

The Department of Agriculture and Water Resources has been involved with disease modelling for more than 10 years. The objectives of this work have been to identify geographic regions, sub-populations and production systems that might be at greater risk from key exotic diseases such as foot and mouth disease, to evaluate the effectiveness and efficiency of various surveillance and control strategies, to underpin economic impact studies and to provide realistic scenarios for preparedness or training exercises. In agreement with most modelling teams worldwide, the department is cautious about the use of models during an outbreak. In this situation their role should be restricted to the provision of information about the likely effectiveness and efficiency of mitigation strategies under existing outbreak conditions and about resource allocation strategies.

Specific information on some of the modelling projects currently underway can be found at:​

  • Foot and Mouth Disease Modelling Projects​

Contacts

Call 1800 900 090

Contact us online

Report a biosecurity concern

Thanks for your feedback.
Thanks! Your feedback has been submitted.

We aren't able to respond to your individual comments or questions.
To contact us directly phone us or submit an online inquiry

CAPTCHA
This question is for testing whether or not you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions.

Please verify that you are not a robot.

Skip

Footer

  • Contact us
  • Accessibility
  • Disclaimer
  • Privacy
  • FOI
Last updated: 12 August 2021

© Department of Agriculture, Water and the Environment

We acknowledge the Traditional Owners of country throughout Australia and recognise their continuing connection to land, waters and culture. We pay our respects to their Elders past, present and emerging.