Australian Crop Report: December edition
Winter crop production in Victoria is forecast to fall by 14% in 2021–22 to 8.4 million tonnes due to lower yields than the record levels reached in 2020–21. This reflects the late start to the winter cropping season and less favourable rainfall in late winter, which stressed crops and reduced yield potential in regions with sandy soils, especially those planted in the Mallee. Yields are still forecast to be higher than the 10-year average to 2020–21 due to the generally favourable finish to the winter cropping season.
Cropping regions in Victoria benefitted from ideal growing conditions over spring following a late start to the winter cropping season. Total rainfall from September to October 2021 was average to above average, which assisted grain filling and helped to boost yield potential of most crops during spring. Yield prospects are above average in most cropping regions, supported by timely and sufficient rainfall over spring. However state-wide average yields are expected to be less than the record levels reached in 2020–21, primarily due to the lower yields forecast for the Mallee region compared to the high levels last year. Although crop harvest in Victoria is still at an early stage, there are less concerns about delays to harvest and downgrades to grain quality caused by heavy rainfall in Victorian cropping regions relative to other eastern states.
Note: Yields are based on area planted. Area based on planted crop that is harvested, fed off or failed. Percent change are relative to last year.